Dennis Ross, who spent much of the last several years advising US President Barak Obama on the Iran file told Bloomberg on Monday that Obama is not bluffing in the standoff with Iran and Teheran should take American warnings that it will use military force to stop the Islamic Republic’s renegade nuclear program if sanctions and diplomacy fail very seriously. “There are consequences if you act militarily, and there’s big consequences if you don’t act,” said Ross, adding that on balance, the administration considers the risks of permitting a nuclear-armed Iran to be greater than the risks of military action. “You don’t have any communication between the Israelis and the Iranians. You have all sorts of local triggers for conflict. Having countries act on a hair trigger - where they can’t afford to be second to strike, the potential for a miscalculation or a nuclear war through inadvertence is simply too high.”
Ross also applauded stepped up efforts by the EU, Japan, India, South Korea and other big consumers of Iranian oil to curb their imports, opining that Iran is “feeling pain in a much more dramatic way.”
To read the latest intelligence report on Iran, click HERE (PDF)
Elsewhere, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed on Monday that Iran has begun enriching uranium to as much as 20 percent U-235 at the underground Fordow underground site near the holy city of Qom. On the same day, US officials denounced the death sentence of Iranian born US citizen Amir Mirza Hekmati, 28.
“Amir Mirza Hekmati was sentenced to death... for cooperating with the hostile country America and spying for the CIA [Central Intelligence Agency]," ISNA news agency quoted judiciary spokesman Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei as saying. "The court found him corrupt on the Earth and Mohareb [one who wages war on God]."
"If true, we strongly condemn such a verdict and will work with our partners to convey our condemnation to the Iranian government," White House spokesman Tommy Vietor said. "Allegations that Mr Hekmati either worked for, or was sent to Iran by the CIA are false. The Iranian regime has a history of falsely accusing people of being spies, of eliciting forced confessions, and of holding innocent Americans for political reasons."
Iran could "hold on to Hekmati and use him — as they have with previous foreign detainees — as a pawn in their rivalry with the United States", said Gala Riani, analyst at forecasting firm IHS Global Insight.
"All nuclear activities, including enrichment in Natanz and Fordow, are under continuous surveillance and control and safeguards of the IAEA," Iran's envoy to the IAEA, Ali Asghar Soltanieh, told Reuters in Vienna, addressing the nuclear issue.
"All of Iran's enrichment activity is in violation of [United Nations] Security Council resolutions and any expansion of its capacity at Fordow just compounds those violations," said a Western diplomat in Vienna.
